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personally I think Twitter will go pretty soon because it is actually to basic. Ultimately "following" people becomes very boring very quickly. the drop out percentage/rate is just to big and fast.
facebook made a VERY smart change with their recent revision of their layout. Facebook is basically now Twitter on steroids with a constantly updating newsfeed and the ability to comment on specific updates in a separate individual conversation stream. Facebook has built something that pulls you in with so many different things going on your have a longer retention rate in my opinion.
Personally I think Facebook will continue to grow and soon absorb or eclipse all of the others.
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