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I've not ever heard of sites being in the sandbox for over a year - this seems a new phenomenon. Usually sites not ranking either completely lacked backlinks, or else were noticeably penalised. This seems to have kicked in after January, so I don;t see a possibility of the sandbox effect having being around for more than a few months anyway.
Had a number of sites come out of the sandbox - all new - but it did seem keyword dependent. All keywords came up over a time period of around 3 weeks - though it was a handful of low frequency keywords that came out first.
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