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Older sites don't fluctuate as much. I find that for the first year or two of a sites existence, and as you start on your SEO tasks, it takes a little while for your rankings to stabilize. But over time, they start to get pretty cemented in place. Especially for your #1 rankings, as long as you keep at your work, they stay in place.
Newer sites however, dance all around the place. First they are first page, then eighth page, then third, and you're never sure day by day. But over time a pattern starts to emerge and you'll see where more or less you'll end up.
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